Datamineria Analysis – Delhi Vidhan Sabha Election 2015

Delhi is going to witness fierce election battle. We in Datamineria are measuring impact of each move by different political parties on voter’s sentiment. We are taking data insight from various sources :- our own scientific surveys, simulation of historical data, social media sentiments, issue/news analysis as well rally impact analysis using our in-house developed election forecasting methodologies.

Delhi election battle is open at this juncture, writing-off any political party will not yield correct result.
All parties will play their role in finalizing “who will rule Delhi”
There are various open points which has potential to impact voter’s sentiment:

Few are listed below:

1. Today Congress is not in point of discussion, however we feel Congress can make or break many political dreams. A strong performance of grand old party have its own impact on final out come

2. In case Congress not rejuvenate its cadre, impact of that scenario will also change the final outcome.

3. BJP strong push for pro-poor action, AAP should be impacted or not?

4. Performance on center government will also play a crucial role in building voter’s sentiment

5. Our voter mood analysis suggest, this time “action” not the “declaration” will yield result

4. Obama visit to India, how it will be impacting voter’s sentiment is an event to watch

We will be closely monitoring voter’s sentiment and its impact on Delhi election result.

As of 11/01/2015, based on our own scientific forecasting methodologies > BJP is leading and moving towards clear majority, however good amount of time available before election and result can be different.

“Datamineria offers “Information Advantage” to political parties to extract maximum insight and value from their election Campaign. Our expert provides multivariate forecasting using various election data analytic technique. We provide Campaign success modelling, electoral mood analysis, voting trend and decision support services to political parties. We provide independent insight and analysis to build a detailed picture of voters, voters mood swing during campaign, Voter’s mood analysis and social media strategy for campaign success modelling.”

Datamineria Analysis – Jharkhand VidhanSabha Election 2014

Jharkhand is witnessing very interesting contest this election, politicians are changing their loyalty so fast that no one knows next day who will be in support/opposition. One thing politicians are forgetting that days are gone when one get votes just by name, voters are understanding their preference in a very scientific manner, We in continuously gauging people mood and watching voters mood very closely, with the digital media evaluation even rural area of Jharkhand is
well connected to social media, voters are regularly coming to social media giving comments/feedback on politicians approach/conduct. At same time party loyal voters are still in good numbers, but bringing those voters to polling stations will be very important and crucial for all political parties. 

Our analysis brings classification of voters into two categories in Jharkhand, one category is totally dedicated for voters who are loyal to party and changing their mood will be tough task time, Our second category for voters who are sitting on fence and who are proactive, reactive, action-oriented, have constant touch with digital as well as visual media. At the end both classified group have great faith in democracy and know well that by casting their vote they can bring change. We expect good voting turnout in Vidhansabha – 2014 election. Many political commentators or opinion polls have not recorded JMM possibility correctly, our analysis suggest JMM will surprise political pundits by its performance, they have covered the ground quite well in last few days. BJP is looking strong and this time they will sail through in many tough territories, JVM is totally dependent on Babu Lal’s charisma and with TMC alignment they have brought themselves in contest. Congress will have to adopt more aggressive campaign model, some old pockets is looking favorable for Congress.

For the Datamineria scientific forecast, we are still waiting for final round of candidate list for all the seat. We use candidate selection as one of very important parameter while forecasting voter’s mood and its impact on seat forecast.